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- Bull market officially dead?
Bull market officially dead?
What’s up people. We’ve got a juicy market breakdown for you in this one. Enjoy!
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An ugly chart - SP500 🥶📉
Taking a look at the Daily chart for the SP500 .
We can see a near perfect downward channel filled with dumps and scam pumps.Last week we saw a big rejection off of the 4100 resistance that we pumped up to back in September (yellow line).Then the subsequent FOMC rate hikes and CPI numbers pushed us lower.We'd expect to see a bit of a relief rally back up to the top of the channel, but at this point the move down looks basically locked in.A bottom of around 3200 would put us right in line with the 2020 crash levels.This remains our "bottom", at least in for now barring any crazy black swan event. Which is quite likely with the current geopolitical climate.
Bitcoin bleeding out. Only a matter of time 🐻
Pulling up the Daily chart on Bitcoin .
We're currently crabbing in the 15-17K range that began in November following the FTX crash.We've since then pushed up towards 17K , with us blasting through 18K last week only to be rejected hard back down below 17KIt was a pretty glorious bull trap and one that most smart money players could've seen from a mile away.We think a retest back above 17K is entirely possible, especially if we see a scam rally in equities.However, the HTF chart looks very bearish and we've been given no reason to flip our sentiment to bullish .If we get a serious leg down in equities and an SP500 touching 3200, then a 10-12K Bitcoin is the next "bottom".We've been writing on the incoming crash in both equities AND crypto the last several months, both of which have played out.We won't give ourselves too much credit though because how can anyone be bullish with FED comments and CPI where it's at?
Ethereum repeating history?
Pulling up the Weekly ETH chart in this morning's post.
We've zoomed out to show the 2018 pump, subsequent dump, and then 2019-2020 chopfest.Sound or look familiar?If you look at late 2020 into the parabolic stimulus infused pump of 2021, this move looks almost identical to the 2018 pump.Then what happened?2022 carried the same type of price dump that we saw in late 2018/2019.Looking ahead, we've drawn out our version of the 2019/2020 chopfest that we believe will take place in 2023/2024.If you're looking for better entries on your crypto, especially your ETH, then you might want to wait.Although we're SUPER BULLISH on crypto in the long term as an industry, we're quite bearish across all markets in the short-mid term.What's the saying? History doesn't repeat it self, but it sure does rhyme!Let's see how the rest of 2022 plays out.Eyes peeled.-TucciNomicsChief Overlord, AlgoBuddy